Elections - 2027 Election Outlook
Kenya Predictions - Elections 2027
Poll-aggregated projections and scenario tracking for the current election cycle. Predictions are not results, and official 2022 results are used only as a baseline where live data is unavailable.
Scope
01
Deterministic scenarios now
02
AI weighting layer next
03
Projection snapshots before final tally
2027 projection
Baseline Continuity
Based on 2017 + 2022 result patterns
| Rank | Candidate / bloc | Party | Projected votes | Projected share | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raila Odinga | Azimio | 807,864 | 58.61% | 56.7-60.6% |
| 2 | William Ruto | UDA | 570,430 | 41.39% | 39.4-43.3% |