Elections - 2027 Election Outlook
2027 election scenarios
Explore how changes in vote share could affect an election. Scenarios use historical records and your assumptions; they are not official results or a forecast of who will win.
At a glance
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Historical election baselines
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Adjustable assumptions
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Scenarios, not declared results
2027 projection
Baseline Continuity
Based on 2017 + 2022 result patterns
| Rank | Candidate / bloc | Party | Projected votes | Projected share | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raila Odinga | Azimio | 807,864 | 58.61% | 56.7-60.6% |
| 2 | William Ruto | UDA | 570,430 | 41.39% | 39.4-43.3% |